Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.097307 0.112406 0.129070 0.148829 0.171622 0.197097 0.227743
2026-01-18 0.073231 0.093418 0.117978 0.150064 0.190906 0.241206 0.307944
2026-01-25 0.058947 0.080595 0.108783 0.148195 0.201939 0.272774 0.373438
2026-02-01 0.048296 0.069865 0.099550 0.143413 0.206679 0.294807 0.427258
2026-02-08 0.042481 0.064531 0.096368 0.145720 0.220448 0.329654 0.501956
2026-02-15 0.037497 0.059504 0.092667 0.146326 0.231189 0.360635 0.573951
2026-02-22 0.033770 0.055769 0.090240 0.148239 0.243679 0.395070 0.654658
2026-03-01 0.029678 0.050850 0.085245 0.145247 0.247678 0.416143 0.715827
2026-03-08 0.026379 0.046781 0.081064 0.142928 0.252228 0.438184 0.780566
2026-03-15 0.024201 0.044338 0.079268 0.144348 0.263119 0.471753 0.868585
2026-03-22 0.023117 0.043681 0.080448 0.151063 0.283971 0.524645 0.996800
2026-03-29 0.021794 0.042412 0.080351 0.155359 0.300744 0.571750 1.119326
2026-04-05 0.020429 0.040937 0.079776 0.158809 0.316553 0.619212 1.249005
2026-04-12 0.018930 0.039031 0.078177 0.160101 0.328342 0.660340 1.371248
2026-04-19 0.017240 0.036534 0.075128 0.158106 0.333240 0.688294 1.469784
2026-04-26 0.015433 0.033578 0.070822 0.153004 0.331091 0.701639 1.539141
2026-05-03 0.014539 0.032452 0.070153 0.155465 0.345128 0.749844 1.688431
2026-05-10 0.013569 0.031046 0.068731 0.156113 0.355245 0.790673 1.825971
2026-05-17 0.012805 0.030009 0.067986 0.158153 0.368631 0.839897 1.987845
2026-05-24 0.011712 0.028094 0.065089 0.154962 0.369693 0.861648 2.088436
2026-05-31 0.010779 0.026446 0.062621 0.152487 0.372128 0.886715 2.199615
2026-06-07 0.010195 0.025575 0.061864 0.154002 0.384250 0.935616 2.374174
2026-06-14 0.010006 0.025651 0.063357 0.161167 0.410965 1.022118 2.652040